About 10XSC

10XSC measures supply chain risk for businesses trading into and out of India. Every week it reads the sea lanes cargo crosses, the factory calendars of supplier countries, the prices of underlying inputs, whether anyone is buying at home and abroad, the rules that bind a shipment, and the hazards near the chain. Each is scored against its own normal.

It is free, it has no login, and it sells nothing.

How the scoring works

Everything is measured against itself, never against something else. A 40 on commodity prices and a 40 on port traffic both mean roughly 16% away from that thing’s own normal. Bands are 0–32 normal, 33–66 watch, 67–100 disrupted.

Most measures carry two baselines: recent weeks, and a fixed reference year. This matters more than it sounds. A rolling window goes blind to a long disruption — once a crisis has lasted a few months it becomes the new normal and stops registering. The fixed reference keeps a sustained closure visible for as long as it lasts.

Direction is treated asymmetrically and differently by domain. On a shipping lane, unusually heavy traffic usually means rerouting from somewhere that has closed, so it is flagged but never called disrupted. In an export market, more cargo arriving is good news. In domestic consumption, what matters is growth falling below its usual pace, since these numbers almost never fall outright.

Where the data comes from

IMF PortWatch (portwatch.imf.org) — vessel transits at 28 maritime chokepoints, port calls and import tonnage for ports worldwide. Derived from satellite AIS signals under the UN Global Platform, published weekly. Used for the route, demand and port measures. Estimates, not port authority counts. 10XSC is not affiliated with or endorsed by the IMF.

World Bank Pink Sheet — monthly benchmark prices for 26 commodities, used under the World Bank’s open terms.

GDACS, the Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System run by the European Commission and the United Nations — natural hazard alerts. These are automatic estimates issued within an hour of an event, not verified damage reports, and do not replace official warnings. For safety decisions follow the NDMA and the India Meteorological Department.

US Treasury, Office of Foreign Assets Control — the sanctions lists, compared week to week to find what changed.

Ministry of Finance, GSTN and NPCI monthly releases — GST collections, e-way bills and UPI, entered by hand because India publishes no open statistics API for them.

Production calendars and trade measures are compiled by 10XSC from government holiday announcements, lunar calendars and gazette notifications.

Natural Earth — the coastlines drawn into the maps, which use no tile service.

What this is not

Not advice, legal, financial or otherwise. Not a compliance screen: sanctions screening is a legal obligation needing a proper tool and a named responsible person. Not real time — most sources publish weekly or monthly with a lag, so this tells you what has already moved. And not specific to your business: two importers reading the same score should act differently depending on what they buy and which lane it crosses.

Where something is uncertain, the site says so.

Who is behind it

Padmakumar M Anandan Kartha — a technology leader with a passion for data-driven transformation and AI workflows, based in Bangalore.

Corrections and suggestions are welcome at connect@10xsc.com.