A holiday calendar only sees half the problem. A flood, a sanctions wave or an export ban stops a supplier just as surely as a festival, and gives less warning. This tracks both: the condition of the twenty countries India buys from most, and the shutdown windows with the date by which you needed to order.
The twenty countries India imports from in volume, each scored on the worst single thing affecting it — a holiday, a natural hazard, a wave of sanctions designations, or something entered by hand such as a war or an export ban. The worst cause, not an average: any one of them can stop a shipment.
Chinese New Year is not a seven-day holiday: output falls for weeks before and takes weeks to recover. The ordering deadline matters more than the dates.
| Window | Where | Closed | Starts in | Order by | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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The ordering deadline is the number that matters. It works back from the start of the shutdown by a typical lead time for that origin, so for China before New Year that is ninety days, covering production, inspection and a sailing. If your own lead time is longer, move your deadline earlier.
Three things catch importers out every year. Output starts falling well before the official holiday, because workers leave early. A share of workers do not come back afterwards, so the first batches after a reopening carry more quality risk. And third-party inspection agencies close at the same time as the factories, so a pre-shipment inspection has to be booked before the slowdown, not during it.
Windows marked estimated are derived from the lunar calendar and not yet officially announced. They will move by a day or two. Use them for planning, confirm with your supplier before committing to a date.
The country panel above draws on data already collected elsewhere on this site: natural hazards from the GDACS feed behind Hazard Watch, sanctions activity from the OFAC change log behind Rule Watch, and the holiday windows below. Wars, export bans and strikes are entered by hand, because no free feed reports them reliably. A country reading normally means nothing in those four sources is flagging it, which is not the same as a guarantee.